The rumored bid of HP angling to buy services giant EDS is finally a piece of fact. My gratitude to industry thought leader Naomi Bloom who has sent me bits & pieces about this news also, including this article of today in ZDNet outlining what the acquisition means. (Naomi is a dear colleague of mine for many years and one of the few people I respect for her deep subject matter expertise around HRO as well as her commitment to integrity.) I have read myriad articles and market talk back about the effect that this merger will have on the IT world, esp. IBM who is being targeted most directly with this "hit" in the IT services sector.
Well, here's my take on what will happen in the FAO market as a result of this merger. Some burning questions are: Will IBM, Accenture and the host of offshore FAO suppliers start scrambling to change their strategies and run for cover from this new services behemoth? Will FAO buyers be more confused than ever about the supplier landscape and jump at the opportunity to work with this newly-merged HP entity with a combined ITO/BPO skill set?
Nonsense.
I see this merger having little to no effect at all on the FAO space. Neither HP nor EDS have any critical mass to speak of with regard to FAO business. Both have tried unsuccessfully over the past several years to launch broad FAO strategies, but neither EDS nor HP have won the favor of advisors or buyers around the world seeking a long-term, trusted outsourcing partner. Buy how could this be?
There have been too many failures. Too much overpromising. Too many senior executive leadership changes. Too many financial disappointments. Too much bad press and negative analyst news. Too many layoffs and sales director shifts. And far too much back-and-forth movement as to the new "direction" that each firm claims to be paving each quarter/year.
The only advantage that HP now has in the FAO space is that the combined customer base will be a ready-made prospect list to upsell FAO business. Existing clients often reach for incumbent suppliers to manage additional services. That said, however, to go from here...to there...will be a stretch. And just imagine what the integration scenario will look like. Yikes!
My bet is that NOT ONE of the consultants and lawyers advising on outsourcing has a deep, confident sense of what HP can bring to the table. EDS has backed out of nearly every FAO RFP they have been presented with by this group. The credibility just isn't there any more.
I am sounding incredibly harsh (moreso than ever before, I think!), but having had EDS as a client for many years (via IDC then Ross Research, and a prospect of FAO Research), I feel highly confident that I know what I am talking about. And HP has never been able to share with me a straight story as to who they are in the FAO space.
So, yes, we will continue to watch what happens with HP. They will have a presence in FAO, but I am not expecting a major landscape shift at all. I can only imagine now, though, speaking honestly, that recruiting specialists from every other major outsourcing services supplier are on the hunt for the many HP and EDS executives starting to "look around" for opportunities. Just watch.



